Explain Simpson's Paradox and construct a user engagement scenario

Tests whether you spot trends reversing when population mixes differ. Good answers define the paradox, give a numerical example with per-segment wins but aggregate loss, and warn against segment-only decisions.
Tests whether you recognize that aggregate metrics can hide or flip segment-level truths when confounding variables shift across groups. A strong answer defines Simpson's Paradox, constructs a concrete new-vs-returning scenario with real numbers where the feature improves both segments yet drags the total down, explains the mechanism, usually a larger share of low-baseline users in treatment, and warns against shipping on segment splits without checking overall consistency.
Read the original → statsig.com
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